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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ferrariChampions2026Hawk.liveRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market35% (3649–6671, n=10320)55% (295–239, n=534)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL—$3.0M$19K$14.8M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #870was PM monthly #968PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (30 of 43 open)no open consensus position64% (128 of 199 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Esports ±0 pts, n=514—
Settled positions, side won——56% of 520 at avg 56¢, ROI −3%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——23% (won 4% of 121)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢——15% (won 28% of 79)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢——25% (won 68% of 128)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up——37% (won 92% of 192)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4ferrariChampions2026Hawk.liveRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.3K—Over $1.5K
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $2.0K
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Under $180
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $111K—Taylor Fritz $38K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
—Filip Misolic $16K—Filip Misolic $7.5K
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
—Julia Riera $15K—Julia Riera $8.0K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $22K—Under $765
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
—Carole Monnet $16K—Carole Monnet $6.1K
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $13K—Ferencvárosi TC $3.6K
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
same side · consensus AC Sparta Praha
—AC Sparta Praha $10K—AC Sparta Praha $785
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.4K—Over $8.6K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Max Hans Rehberg $3.8K—Max Hans Rehberg $3.6K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.9K—Under $54
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.2K—Over $360
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $907—Under $39
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $120—Over $722
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
—GNK Dinamo Zagreb $139—GNK Dinamo Zagreb $146