Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

beachboy4: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
crmannetjeferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (27–39, n=66)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL-$6.0K-$9.5M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #950was PM monthly #87PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)56% (5 of 9 open)50% (20 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicSoccer −18 pts, n=21——
Settled positions, side won54% of 48 at avg 45¢, ROI +20%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 20% of 15)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 64% of 11)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 65% of 17)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 5)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcrmannetjeferrariChampions2026RN1
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.8K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.5KCavaliers $708
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360