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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
crmannetjeferrariChampions2026RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)41% (27–39, n=66)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL-$6.0K-$9.5M$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #950was PM monthly #87PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)56% (5 of 9 open)48% (19 of 40 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicSoccer −18 pts, n=21——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won54% of 48 at avg 45¢, ROI +20%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 20% of 15)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 64% of 11)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 65% of 17)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 5)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcrmannetjeferrariChampions2026RN1S-Works
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.8K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.5KCavaliers $708—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360—