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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpndb1peasant
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6585–6162, n=12747)63% (993–578, n=1571)57% (162–122, n=284)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$4.8M$128K
Tracked as—PM monthly #13PM monthly #96PM monthly #538
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (191 of 275 open)71% (56 of 79 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147Politics −5 pts, n=51
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%58% of 273 at avg 57¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)21% (won 11% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 38% of 45)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 62% of 63)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)40% (won 89% of 108)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpndb1peasant
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4Under $30K—