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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpJabJabichndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6467–6001, n=12468)60% (174–114, n=288)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$107K$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #23PM monthly #246PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (83 of 118 open)60% (12 of 20 open)72% (71 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%86% of 201 at avg 59¢, ROI +13%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 64% of 14)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)18% (won 81% of 36)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 85% of 98)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)26% (won 96% of 53)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpJabJabichndb1
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $340Yes $6.2K—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $443Yes $4.6K—