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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | morito181 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 69% (532–242, n=774) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $1.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #120 + pinned | PM monthly #25 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 81% (145 of 178 open) | 66% (99 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | morito181 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $440K | Yes $15K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $15K | Yes $1.8K | — |