← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | pIebe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 70% (714–305, n=1019) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.3M | $1.1M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #198 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 80% (28 of 35 open) | 78% (128 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 22% (won 6% of 204) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 6% (won 47% of 55) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 6% (won 52% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 67% (won 96% of 629) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | pIebe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $34K | Yes $22K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $22K | No $199 |