← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 56% (343–267, n=610) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.9M | $64K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #296 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 70% (38 of 54 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=87 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 53% of 568 at avg 48¢, ROI +6% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 37% (won 15% of 209) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 55% of 93) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 65% of 91) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 31% (won 93% of 175) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $53K | Yes $1.6K | — |