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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)96% (13344–595, n=13939)
Consensus PnL$6.1M$11.0M$14.8M$105K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #804
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)67% (76 of 114 open)58% (63 of 108 open)83% (10 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=6775, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93———
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 6775 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2606)4% (won 73% of 240)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5665)9% (won 91% of 624)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)36% (won 99% of 9185)11% (won 97% of 755)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)32% (won 100% of 8345)76% (won 100% of 5156)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1WagerWizard
Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $72
Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $2.2KYes $86
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $38Yes $268
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $26KYes $136
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $20KNo $190
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.4KOver $23
Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart?
same side · consensus No
——No $426No $140
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $5Yes $42
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $19No $23