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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpkinderSman
Record (consensus markets)no settled market44% (574–717, n=1291)52% (6582–6102, n=12684)98% (430–7, n=437)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$161K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #835
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position85% (23 of 27 open)77% (103 of 133 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Tech −2 pts, n=29
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 421 at avg 98¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)1% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)99% (won 100% of 417)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpkinderSman
Heat vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $729Warriors $23K—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $2.6KWarriors $7.5K—