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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpWagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (581–722, n=1303)52% (6565–6142, n=12707)95% (13673–684, n=14357)
Consensus PnL—$7.3M$3.7M$104K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #960
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (23 of 26 open)68% (195 of 286 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpWagerWizard
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.6KOver $6
Spread: Sagan Tosu (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kataller Toyama
——Sagan Tosu $300Kataller Toyama $108
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $277Lakers $12K—
Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.5KNo $33
Spread: Nagoya Grampus (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kyōto Sanga FC
——Kyōto Sanga FC $18Kyōto Sanga FC $85