Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)52% (5359–4920, n=10279)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$625K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #61PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)59% (87 of 147 open)60% (128 of 214 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——Golf −2 pts, n=108—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 19% of 1341)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)35% (won 46% of 3607)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)35% (won 61% of 3523)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)17% (won 86% of 1699)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSRN1
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $18K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $516No $14K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.2KNo $4.8K—
Hawks vs. Wizards
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $2.7KWizards $3.4K—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Wizards $2.1KHawks $678
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $765KNo $14K—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $204KPistons $161—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22KYes $2.0K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $811—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $376—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $16Yes $1.8K—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $80Yes $1.6K—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $164Yes $42—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $66—Hawks $128