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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy400gringo00omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)69% (43–19, n=62)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)
Consensus PnL$5.8M$3.5M$3.4M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #17Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position49% (17 of 35 open)58% (14 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=91———
Settled positions, side won57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)0%8% (won 58% of 836)10% (won 56% of 2460)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 56% of 62)0%21% (won 85% of 2140)22% (won 94% of 5335)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 52% of 114)100% (won 86% of 7)38% (won 94% of 3856)36% (won 99% of 8653)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)0%32% (won 99% of 3242)31% (won 100% of 7361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy400gringo00omnibus-076daaRN1
Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
——Arthur Fils $7.7KGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard $302
Courmayeur: Gaia Maduzzi vs Linda Klimovicova
opposite sides · consensus Linda Klimovicova
——Gaia Maduzzi $140Linda Klimovicova $418
Courmayeur: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
——Mia Ristic $2Martyna Kubka $109
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
——MOUZ $4MOUZ $4.9K