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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| basedcigani | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (228–146, n=374) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.1K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 65% (13 of 20 open) | 62% (103 of 165 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 446 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 7% of 119) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 15) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 58% of 12) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 300) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | basedcigani | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $2.1K | Illinois $541 |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $508 | Over $1.4K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nevada | — | Nevada $1.3K | New Mexico $437 |
| Spread: South Florida (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | South Florida $324 | East Carolina $635 |
| Spread: SMU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | Virginia Tech $189 | SMU $80 |
| Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $71 | Over $3 |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 67.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $718 | Under $4.8K |
| Spread: SMU (-6.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | SMU $2.8K | SMU $666 |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $31 | Over $1.3K |
| Spread: SMU (-4.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | SMU $3 | SMU $82 |