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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| basedcigani | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (228–146, n=374) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) | 48% (14338–15838, n=30176) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (55 of 78 open) | 67% (12 of 18 open) | 49% (29 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 446 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 7% of 119) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 15) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 58% of 12) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 300) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | basedcigani | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Arizona (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | — | TCU $9.1K | Arizona $579 |
| Spread: Arizona (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | — | TCU $914 | Arizona $2.8K |
| Spread: Arizona (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | — | TCU $864 | Arizona $1.6K |
| Spread: Arizona (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | — | TCU $1.0K | Arizona $1.3K |
| Spread: Arizona (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | — | TCU $1.2K | Arizona $872 |
| Spread: Arizona (-8.5) same side · consensus Arizona | — | — | TCU $834 | TCU $2.3K |
| TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $355 | Over $1.4K |