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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| basedcigani | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (228–146, n=374) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.1K | $7.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 80% (28 of 35 open) | 61% (95 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 446 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 7% of 119) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 15) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 58% of 12) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 300) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | basedcigani | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Grizzlies $14K | Thunder $675 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Jazz $422 | Mavericks $258 |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $450 | Raptors $37 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | — | Raptors $122 | Raptors $154 |