PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (13541–13674, n=27215)48% (12062–12875, n=24937)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #503PM monthly #16PM monthly #17 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (10 of 17 open)65% (15 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNBA −9 pts, n=34——
Settled positions, side won59% of 979 at avg 57¢, ROI +4%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 19% of 90)8% (won 59% of 860)10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 37% of 242)21% (won 86% of 2252)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 62% of 354)39% (won 94% of 4102)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 86% of 293)32% (won 99% of 3425)31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketaqzfssqkqzbcbr1994omnibus-076daaRN1
W35 Kunshan: Wushuang Zheng vs Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA
opposite sides · consensus Wushuang Zheng
—Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA $3Wushuang Zheng $1.1K
W35 Kunshan: Yidi Yang vs JiaYi Wang
opposite sides · consensus JiaYi Wang
—Yidi Yang $33JiaYi Wang $188
Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $17Yes $6.3K