Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
analdesutructorBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)82% (193–43, n=236)45% (571–700, n=1271)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)
Consensus PnL-$56K$9.4M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #623PM monthly #1PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)52% (12 of 23 open)100% (7 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +47 pts n=30, ROI +49%
  • Esports +51 pts n=13, ROI +52%
  • MLB +33 pts n=55, ROI +32%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 196 at avg 61¢, ROI +38%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 11)11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 97% of 59)35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 100% of 48)35% (won 100% of 201)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 78)20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketanaldesutructorBreakTheBankprimm
Jazz vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $368Jazz $75K—