PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat11RN1BreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)51% (1352–1281, n=2633)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)45% (502–616, n=1118)50% (13367–13520, n=26887)
Consensus PnL$21K$13.4M$11.8M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #622PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus53% (20 of 38 open)20% (1 of 5 open)70% (23 of 33 open)71% (17 of 24 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2463)10% (won 85% of 53)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5333)35% (won 98% of 181)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8660)34% (won 99% of 176)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7366)20% (won 100% of 105)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat11RN1BreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniel Merida Aguilar
Daniil Medvedev $23——Daniel Merida Aguilar $3.9K
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $7Talia Gibson $2.3K——
AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2——Under $2.1K
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $3Harriet Dart $1.1K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $252KYes $318