PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat11CORGIIRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)51% (1352–1282, n=2634)63% (379–225, n=604)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$21K$4.5M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #627PM monthly #95PM monthly #16 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus59% (24 of 41 open)0% (0 of 2 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 56% of 2463)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—56% (won 99% of 214)22% (won 94% of 5333)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 100% of 129)36% (won 99% of 8660)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7366)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat11CORGIIRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $3—Harriet Dart $5.6K—
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $7—Talia Gibson $2.2K—
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs
same side · consensus PARIVISION
Team Liquid $607Team Liquid $1.7K——