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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ameisgoat11 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (1352–1281, n=2633) | 45% (502–616, n=1118) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (11876–12683, n=24559) |
| Consensus PnL | $21K | $11.8M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #622 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #15 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (18 of 35 open) | 70% (23 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (2 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2463) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5333) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8660) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7366) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ameisgoat11 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala | Alexandra Eala $7 | — | — | Talia Gibson $2.2K |
| Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus same side · consensus Paula Badosa | Paula Badosa $14 | — | — | Paula Badosa $15K |