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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
allen114BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)71% (307–125, n=432)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11777–15355, n=27132)55% (13382–10751, n=24133)
Consensus PnL-$281K$8.4M-$9.5M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #645PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)88% (29 of 33 open)67% (6 of 9 open)67% (81 of 121 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +16 pts n=162, ROI +9%
  • Finance +11 pts n=38, ROI +4%
  • Crypto +9 pts n=63, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———NFL −24 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won94% of 333 at avg 82¢, ROI +6%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 56% of 9)10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 79% of 14)36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 87% of 53)35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 98% of 257)20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketallen114BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $141Yes $2.8K
Counter-Strike: maybe vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In
opposite sides · consensus maybe
——maybe $15MASONIC $9
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel
——Cosme Rolland De Ravel $47KCosme Rolland De Ravel $6.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $12K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Borna Gojo
——Tomas Machac $9.2KTomas Machac $2.9K