PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ZptmlRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (11712–12496, n=24208)45% (501–606, n=1107)63% (376–222, n=598)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$12.1M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #116Hand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #156
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)47% (18 of 38 open)70% (23 of 33 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2460)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5335)35% (won 98% of 181)55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8653)34% (won 99% of 176)34% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7361)20% (won 100% of 105)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketZptmlRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $19K—TYLOO $8.9K
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus fnatic
—Astralis $5.0K—fnatic $15K