PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ZptmlCORGII00gringo00omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (376–222, n=598)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (13213–13355, n=26568)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #116PM monthly #156was PM monthly #19PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus position57% (21 of 37 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 91% of 35)0%8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢—55% (won 99% of 209)0%21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 100% of 128)100% (won 86% of 7)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 7)0%32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketZptmlCORGII00gringo00omnibus-076daa
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus fnatic
—fnatic $15K—Astralis $1.2K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—TYLOO $8.9K—FURIA $112
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—TYLOO $1.3K—FURIA $252