← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VivianWard | RN1 | CORGII | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (11699–12467, n=24166) | 63% (372–218, n=590) | 69% (43–19, n=62) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13.4M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #144 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #162 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 62% (39 of 63 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=91 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 23802 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2460) | 9% (won 91% of 35) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5332) | 55% (won 99% of 209) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8653) | 34% (won 100% of 127) | 54% (won 52% of 114) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7357) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VivianWard | RN1 | CORGII | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage opposite sides · consensus Nemiga | — | DENDELE CS $324 | Nemiga $28K | — |
| Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nemiga | — | DENDELE CS $303 | Nemiga $8.0K | — |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs same side · consensus BIG | — | magic $536 | magic $12K | — |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner same side · consensus Nemiga | — | Nemiga $12K | Nemiga $615 | — |