← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VivianWard | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 63% (372–218, n=590) | 69% (43–19, n=62) | 48% (11699–12467, n=24166) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $4.4M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #144 | PM monthly #162 | was PM monthly #24 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 62% (39 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=91 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 23802 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 9% (won 91% of 35) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2460) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 55% (won 99% of 209) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5332) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 100% of 127) | 54% (won 52% of 114) | 36% (won 99% of 8653) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7357) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VivianWard | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage opposite sides · consensus Nemiga | — | Nemiga $28K | — | DENDELE CS $324 |
| Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nemiga | — | Nemiga $8.0K | — | DENDELE CS $303 |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs same side · consensus BIG | — | magic $12K | — | magic $536 |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner same side · consensus Nemiga | — | Nemiga $615 | — | Nemiga $12K |