PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VivianWardCORGII00gringo00RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (372–218, n=590)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (11699–12467, n=24166)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #144PM monthly #162was PM monthly #19Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)67% (6 of 9 open)no open consensus position63% (40 of 64 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 23802 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 91% of 35)0%10% (won 56% of 2460)
Entries 30–50¢—55% (won 99% of 209)0%22% (won 94% of 5332)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 100% of 127)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8653)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 7)0%31% (won 100% of 7357)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVivianWardCORGII00gringo00RN1
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Nemiga
—Nemiga $28K—DENDELE CS $483
Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nemiga
—Nemiga $8.0K—DENDELE CS $303
Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
same side · consensus BIG
—magic $12K—magic $625
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner
same side · consensus Nemiga
—Nemiga $615—Nemiga $12K