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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunflowaRebuildYear | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (5–2, n=7) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (514–627, n=1141) | 48% (12168–13017, n=25185) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.1K | $5.8M | $10.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #480 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (6 of 13 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 70% (28 of 40 open) | 51% (23 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2507) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 22% (won 94% of 5408) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8790) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 31% (won 100% of 7551) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunflowaRebuildYear | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Packers $598 | — | Packers $245K | Panthers $2.4K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas opposite sides · consensus North Texas | Florida Atlantic $560 | — | — | North Texas $14K |
| Spread: Packers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Packers $495 | — | — | Panthers $5.2K |
| Spread: Packers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Panthers $505 | — | — | Packers $4.4K |
| Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 56.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $494 | — | — | Under $2.2K |
| Spread: Packers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Panthers $491 | — | — | Packers $129 |
| Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $909 | — | — | Under $4.0K |