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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunflowaRebuildYear | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (5–2, n=7) | 48% (12168–13017, n=25185) | 45% (514–627, n=1141) | 62% (386–233, n=619) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.1K | $13.4M | $10.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #464 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #78 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 51% (22 of 43 open) | 70% (28 of 40 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2478) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 91% of 35) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5361) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 56% (won 99% of 214) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8705) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 34% (won 100% of 129) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7425) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunflowaRebuildYear | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Panthers $500 | Packers $2.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) same side · consensus Packers | Packers $598 | — | Packers $245K | — |
| Spread: Packers (-6.5) same side · consensus Panthers | Panthers $532 | Panthers $456 | — | — |