PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SunflowaRebuildYearCORGIIRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)71% (5–2, n=7)62% (386–233, n=619)48% (12168–13017, n=25185)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$7.1K$4.5M$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #480PM monthly #78PM monthly #23 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus42% (5 of 12 open)no open consensus position51% (23 of 45 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won—98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 56% of 2507)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—56% (won 99% of 214)22% (won 94% of 5408)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 100% of 129)36% (won 99% of 8790)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7551)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSunflowaRebuildYearCORGIIRN1beachboy4
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas
opposite sides · consensus North Texas
Florida Atlantic $560—North Texas $14K—
Spread: Packers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Panthers $532—Packers $4.9K—
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 56.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $494—Under $2.2K—
Spread: Packers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Packers $598—Panthers $420—
Spread: Packers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $491—Packers $129—
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $909—Under $4.0K—
Spread: Packers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Panthers
Packers $495—Packers $1.5K—