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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunflowaRebuildYear | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 93% (283–22, n=305) | 45% (517–633, n=1150) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12346–13264, n=25610) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #485 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 62% (66 of 106 open) | no open consensus position | 38% (6 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 235 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24328 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 7) | 10% (won 83% of 54) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2510) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 58% (won 100% of 136) | 35% (won 98% of 188) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5423) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 100% of 86) | 34% (won 99% of 182) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8806) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 6) | 20% (won 100% of 106) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7589) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunflowaRebuildYear | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Nuggets $256 | Suns $291K | — | — |
| Kent State vs. Sacramento State opposite sides · consensus Kent State | Kent State $168 | — | — | Sacramento State $6.0K |
| Lakers vs. Warriors same side · consensus Lakers | Warriors $2.4K | Warriors $50K | — | — |