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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)47% (14202–15801, n=30003)96% (13202–565, n=13767)
Consensus PnL$14.8M$105K
Tracked asPM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #823
Sides with the consensus55% (18 of 33 open)0% (0 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +16 pts n=6775, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 6775 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2537)4% (won 73% of 240)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5518)9% (won 91% of 624)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 8928)11% (won 97% of 755)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 7821)76% (won 100% of 5156)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1WagerWizard
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.3KYes $11
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3.8KOver $128