PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Michael1615RN1CORGIIomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)73% (11–4, n=15)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)63% (379–225, n=604)50% (13370–13521, n=26891)
Consensus PnL$12K$13.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #483PM monthly #16 + pinnedPM monthly #95PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)67% (4 of 6 open)0% (0 of 2 open)61% (11 of 18 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won58% of 12 at avg 28¢, ROI +43%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢58% (won 43% of 7)10% (won 56% of 2463)9% (won 91% of 35)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 50% of 2)22% (won 94% of 5333)56% (won 99% of 214)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 100% of 2)36% (won 99% of 8660)34% (won 100% of 129)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 100% of 7366)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMichael1615RN1CORGIIomnibus-076daa
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus PARIVISION
——Team Liquid $1.7KPARIVISION $420
Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider
same side · consensus Diana Shnaider
—Diana Shnaider $27K—Diana Shnaider $119
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Harriet Dart $5.6K—Harriet Dart $134