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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph00677sainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| Malfunction. | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 98% (11408–287, n=11695) | 66% (875–457, n=1332) |
| Consensus PnL | $624K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #289 | PM monthly #22 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (94 of 133 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 10966 at avg 96¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 19% of 225) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 50% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 58% of 170) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 95% (won 99% of 10367) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Malfunction. | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $95K | No $997K |