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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | Malfunction. | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 98% (11659–287, n=11946) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $624K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #316 | PM monthly #12 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (8 of 8 open) | 74% (26 of 35 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 96% of 10966 at avg 96¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 2% (won 19% of 225) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 2% (won 50% of 204) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 2% (won 58% of 170) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 95% (won 99% of 10367) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | Malfunction. | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $22K | Yes $604K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $50K | No $41K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $53K | No $1.9M |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | No $25K | No $1.4M |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $34K | Yes $819K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $34K | No $235K |