PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LornaPredictssainttroplayomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)16% (419–2230, n=2649)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (13585–13713, n=27298)48% (12103–12930, n=25033)
Consensus PnL-$2.1K$4.4M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999was PM monthly #11PM monthly #15PM monthly #17 + pinned
Sides with the consensus79% (31 of 39 open)no open consensus position56% (10 of 18 open)71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0%8% (won 59% of 860)10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 86% of 2252)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)39% (won 94% of 4102)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%32% (won 99% of 3425)31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLornaPredictssainttroplayomnibus-076daaRN1
W75 Poitiers: Francesca Curmi vs Clara Vlasselaer
opposite sides · consensus Francesca Curmi
——Francesca Curmi $431Clara Vlasselaer $452
W50 Istanbul: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Viktoria Hruncakova
opposite sides · consensus Viktoria Hruncakova
——Ksenia Zaytseva $24Viktoria Hruncakova $703
W50 Istanbul: Ekaterina Dotsenko vs Anna Kubareva
opposite sides · consensus Anna Kubareva
——Ekaterina Dotsenko $19Anna Kubareva $166