PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LornaPredictsomnibus-076daaBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)16% (419–2230, n=2649)50% (13585–13713, n=27298)45% (514–627, n=1141)48% (12103–12930, n=25033)
Consensus PnL-$2.1K$3.5M$10.4M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999PM monthly #15PM monthly #1PM monthly #17 + pinned
Sides with the consensus79% (31 of 39 open)56% (10 of 18 open)69% (27 of 39 open)71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 59% of 860)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 86% of 2252)35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 94% of 4102)34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 99% of 3425)20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLornaPredictsomnibus-076daaBreakTheBankRN1
W75 Poitiers: Francesca Curmi vs Clara Vlasselaer
opposite sides · consensus Francesca Curmi
—Francesca Curmi $431—Clara Vlasselaer $452
W50 Istanbul: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Viktoria Hruncakova
opposite sides · consensus Viktoria Hruncakova
—Ksenia Zaytseva $24—Viktoria Hruncakova $703
W50 Istanbul: Ekaterina Dotsenko vs Anna Kubareva
opposite sides · consensus Anna Kubareva
—Ekaterina Dotsenko $19—Anna Kubareva $166