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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LornaPredicts | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 16% (419–2230, n=2649) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (13585–13713, n=27298) | 48% (12103–12930, n=25033) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.1K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #999 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #17 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (31 of 39 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 56% (10 of 18 open) | 71% (5 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 8% (won 59% of 860) | 10% (won 56% of 2478) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 21% (won 86% of 2252) | 22% (won 94% of 5361) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 4102) | 36% (won 99% of 8705) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 99% of 3425) | 31% (won 100% of 7425) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LornaPredicts | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W75 Poitiers: Francesca Curmi vs Clara Vlasselaer opposite sides · consensus Francesca Curmi | — | — | Francesca Curmi $431 | Clara Vlasselaer $452 |
| W50 Istanbul: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Viktoria Hruncakova opposite sides · consensus Viktoria Hruncakova | — | — | Ksenia Zaytseva $24 | Viktoria Hruncakova $703 |
| W50 Istanbul: Ekaterina Dotsenko vs Anna Kubareva opposite sides · consensus Anna Kubareva | — | — | Ekaterina Dotsenko $19 | Anna Kubareva $166 |