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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| KasonWong | RN1 | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (19–3, n=22) | 48% (11699–12466, n=24165) | 69% (43–19, n=62) | 50% (13180–13328, n=26508) |
| Consensus PnL | $83K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #633 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #16 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 65% (11 of 17 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 45% (5 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=91 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 22 at avg 50¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 23802 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 91% of 10062 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 56% of 2460) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 8% (won 58% of 836) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 75% of 8) | 22% (won 94% of 5332) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 21% (won 85% of 2138) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 55% (won 100% of 12) | 36% (won 99% of 8653) | 54% (won 52% of 114) | 38% (won 94% of 3846) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 31% (won 100% of 7357) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 99% of 3242) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | KasonWong | RN1 | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine Paolini opposite sides · consensus Naomi Osaka | — | Naomi Osaka $9.3K | — | Jasmine Paolini $119 |
| Guangzhou Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Janice Tjen opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Polina Kudermetova $1.8K | — | Janice Tjen $3 |
| Pan Pacific Open: Tereza Valentova vs Mia Pohankova same side · consensus Mia Pohankova | — | Mia Pohankova $16K | — | Mia Pohankova $3.3K |
| Will Borneo Samarinda win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | Yes $44 |