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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
Kaczkandb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (437–411, n=848)63% (989–572, n=1561)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$13K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #103PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus43% (3 of 7 open)69% (61 of 88 open)49% (21 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +28 pts n=426, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=83, ROI +17%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 68% of 25)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 72% of 125)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 88% of 347)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 92% of 62)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKaczkandb1RN1
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato
Thiago Monteiro $52—Marco Cecchinato $23K