Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
Kaczkandb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (433–409, n=842)63% (990–573, n=1563)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$13K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #105PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (9 of 18 open)74% (81 of 110 open)58% (64 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +28 pts n=426, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=83, ROI +17%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 68% of 25)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 72% of 125)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 88% of 347)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 92% of 62)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKaczkandb1RN1
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $54—No $1.5K