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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Kaczka | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (437–411, n=848) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 50% (1105–1117, n=2222) | 48% (14112–15590, n=29702) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $3.2M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 36% (4 of 11 open) | 70% (62 of 88 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (100 of 178 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 68% of 25) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 72% of 125) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 88% of 347) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 92% of 62) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Kaczka | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato | Thiago Monteiro $43 | — | — | Marco Cecchinato $21K |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) same side · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $3 | — | — | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $63 |