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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| J-E-R | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (164–208, n=372) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 50% (20607–20392, n=40999) |
| Consensus PnL | $28K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (62 of 72 open) | 72% (53 of 74 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 71% (32 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 92% of 76) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | J-E-R | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $675 | Yes $1.8K | — | — |