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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| J-E-R | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (164–208, n=372) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | $42K | $5.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (65 of 73 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (13 of 23 open) | 63% (47 of 75 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 92% of 76) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | J-E-R | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $7.4K | Under $7.5K |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | — | Nevada $7.4K | New Mexico $2.5K |
| Spread: South Florida (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus South Florida | — | — | South Florida $3.7K | East Carolina $3.5K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $2.1K | Illinois $2.6K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $2.0K | Illinois $2.2K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | — | Nevada $1.3K | New Mexico $1.2K |
| Spread: Illinois (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $1.1K | Illinois $860 |
| Spread: Illinois (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nebraska | — | — | Nebraska $752 | Illinois $874 |
| Spread: Illinois (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nebraska | — | — | Nebraska $1.1K | Illinois $330 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | — | Nevada $297 | New Mexico $655 |
| Spread: Arizona (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | — | Arizona $402 | TCU $411 |
| Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $16 | Under $566 |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.7K | Over $272 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-6.5) same side · consensus Illinois | — | — | Illinois $91 | Illinois $779 |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 35.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $133 | Over $77 |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $164 | Over $23 |