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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HomeRunHazardrobustmstroldy
Record (consensus markets)55% (216–179, n=395)42% (13–18, n=31)40% (4–6, n=10)
Consensus PnL$290K$208K$3.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #7PM monthly #28was PM monthly #630
Sides with the consensus64% (76 of 118 open)no open consensus position73% (8 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%—
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 1)0%—
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 31)85% (won 100% of 11)—
Entries 50–70¢57% (won 100% of 55)15% (won 100% of 2)—
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 10)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHomeRunHazardrobustmstroldy
Avalanche vs. Senators
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
Senators $1.3K—Avalanche $3.1K
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kraken
Kraken $862—Hurricanes $912
Utah vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Golden Knights $15K—Golden Knights $3.0K
Flyers vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
Flyers $4.4K—Flyers $2.2K
Penguins vs. Sharks
same side · consensus Penguins
Sharks $2.9K—Sharks $2.6K
Predators vs. Ducks
same side · consensus Ducks
Ducks $2.2K—Ducks $80
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4—Under $84