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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HOG993 | RN1 | omnibus-076daa | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (12096–12925, n=25021) | 50% (13578–13703, n=27281) | 45% (514–627, n=1141) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #17 + pinned | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 38% (6 of 16 open) | 69% (27 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2478) | 8% (won 59% of 860) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5361) | 21% (won 86% of 2252) | 35% (won 98% of 181) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8705) | 39% (won 94% of 4102) | 34% (won 99% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7425) | 32% (won 99% of 3425) | 20% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HOG993 | RN1 | omnibus-076daa | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez | — | Zeynep Sonmez $103K | Jil Teichmann $559 | — |
| Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova opposite sides · consensus Mia Pohankova | — | Mia Pohankova $37K | Naomi Osaka $3.4K | — |
| Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong opposite sides · consensus Alibek Kachmazov | — | Alibek Kachmazov $8.8K | Seong-Chan Hong $58 | — |
| Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun opposite sides · consensus Xinran Sun | — | Xinran Sun $3.0K | Maria Timofeeva $371 | — |