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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| NatoAlfista | hi774c | tradecraft | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (3299–3527, n=6826) | 57% (3351–2542, n=5893) | 49% (2015–2122, n=4137) |
| Consensus PnL | $32K | $195K | $912K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #994 | PM monthly #120 | PM monthly #299 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (29 of 65 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 1999 at avg 46¢, ROI +42% | 100% of 3066 at avg 48¢, ROI +48% | 57% of 2284 at avg 50¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 221) | 7% (won 100% of 226) | 31% (won 10% of 707) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 94% of 966) | 55% (won 100% of 1675) | 18% (won 47% of 401) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 97% of 802) | 32% (won 100% of 967) | 19% (won 77% of 426) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 80% of 10) | 6% (won 99% of 198) | 33% (won 96% of 750) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NatoAlfista | hi774c | tradecraft |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers vs. Nets opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Nets $33 | Pacers $6.3K | — |
| Pistons vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $80 | 76ers $3.7K | — |
| Magic vs. Knicks opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Magic $232 | Knicks $2.4K | — |
| Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $173 | Under $2.9K | — |