PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SSCCAAMM0xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f40xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731allen114
Record (consensus markets)67% (88–43, n=131)57% (8–6, n=14)49% (619–632, n=1251)82% (163–37, n=200)
Consensus PnL$9.5K$193$840K$155K
Tracked asPM monthly #973PM monthly #790was PM monthly #746was PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +15 pts n=151, ROI +8%
  • Finance +10 pts n=28, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +12 pts n=22, ROI −1%
Weakest topicMentions −14 pts, n=13—Mentions −15 pts, n=44—
Settled positions, side won62% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI −10%92% of 25 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%57% of 1153 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%94% of 273 at avg 82¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 6% of 16)8% (won 50% of 2)21% (won 37% of 241)3% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 48% of 21)0%44% (won 56% of 513)3% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 62% of 42)0%33% (won 70% of 384)16% (won 87% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 32)92% (won 96% of 23)1% (won 93% of 15)78% (won 98% of 213)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSSCCAAMM0xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f40xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731allen114
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $54K——Yes $46K