Magic vs. Knicks

4 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Knicks (67%) · Knicks at 74¢ · $2K held · ends Oct 25

Magic27¢Knicks73¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

💧

Weak

Knicks

Consensus Traders

Knicks 67%

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

-$24.69

Smart Money Entry

74¢ → 73.5¢

-1% since entry · 4 traders

Smart Money Signal

Knicks

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Magic27%

Knicks74%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Knicks4 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares2,058

Combined PnL+$4.49

Magic2 traders

Total Value$642.11

Total Shares2,443

Combined PnL-$29.18

Knicks — 67%Magic — 33%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 73%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 40/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

80% of non-arb traders are on Knicks. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 73% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpKnicks 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrKnicks 80% · 5

Aligned

Hand-pickedKnicks 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Knicks 67% · 3

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989	Knicksavg 74¢	$740	$740	-$0	69% 4170-1875 (6045)
BigRabbit	Knicksavg 74¢	$740	$740	+$5	40% 687-1011 (1698)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Magicavg 25.9¢	$356.68	$364.83	+$8.14	55% 11295-9229 (20524)
DO DolphinBallerCTR	Magicavg 29¢	$309.28	$277.28	-$37.33	44% 58-73 (131)
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100	Knicksavg 74¢	$48.41	$47.9	-$0.51	54% 13405-11284 (24689)
AJ AJSV<$100	Knicksavg 74¢	$10	$10	+$0	36% 12701-22288 (34989)

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989

Knicks

Invested

$740

Value

$740

PnL

-$0

Record

69%

4170-1875 (6045)

BigRabbit

Knicks

Invested

$740

Value

$740

PnL

+$5

Record

40%

687-1011 (1698)

HomeRunHazardCTR

Magic

Invested

$356.68

Value

$364.83

PnL

+$8.14

Record

55%

11295-9229 (20524)

DolphinBallerCTR

Magic

Invested

$309.28

Value

$277.28

PnL

-$37.33

Record

44%

58-73 (131)

LeLynxMalynx<$100

Knicks

Invested

$48.41

Value

$47.9

PnL

-$0.51

Record

54%

13405-11284 (24689)

AJSV<$100

Knicks

Invested

$10

Value

$10

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

12701-22288 (34989)

Smart Money Signal

Knicks

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 73%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 40/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

80% of non-arb traders are on Knicks. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 73% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpKnicks 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrKnicks 80% · 5

Aligned

Hand-pickedKnicks 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Knicks 67% · 3

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Knicks wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance75.4%

73.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$32.54

Max Loss

-$100.00

132.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.