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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GaditimaRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)46% (3464–4027, n=7491)48% (11699–12471, n=24170)45% (501–606, n=1107)63% (372–218, n=590)
Consensus PnL-$206K$13.4M$9.6M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #391Hand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #162
Sides with the consensus42% (71 of 169 open)69% (9 of 13 open)73% (24 of 33 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2452)11% (won 87% of 52)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5319)34% (won 98% of 169)55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8623)34% (won 99% of 170)34% (won 100% of 127)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7308)21% (won 100% of 103)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGaditimaRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.6K—Yes $4.6K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $944—Yes $5.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $142No $2.5K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $923—Yes $34K—
Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
same side · consensus GamerLegion
Envy $456——Envy $11K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $191—Yes $4.8K—
Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A
same side · consensus B8
B8 $66——B8 $4.4K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18—Yes $3.3K—
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers
same side · consensus Lotte Giants
Lotte Giants $181Lotte Giants $44——