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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmQuantDeLaFugaziS-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)64% (1197–672, n=1869)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.6M$114K$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #47Hand-pickedPM monthly #72
Sides with the consensus66% (74 of 112 open)55% (6 of 11 open)76% (13 of 17 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%60% of 1765 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)24% (won 20% of 421)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 45% of 383)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 73% of 413)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)31% (won 93% of 548)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmQuantDeLaFugaziS-Works
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $20KNo $1.2M